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‘Bond King’ Jeffrey Gundlach Names One Catalyst That Could Trigger a Fed Interest Rate Cut This Year

n70products by n70products
May 11, 2025
in Regulations
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‘Bond King’ Jeffrey Gundlach Names One Catalyst That Could Trigger a Fed Interest Rate Cut This Year
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Billionaire “Bond King” Jeffrey Gundlach says the US will probably witness one disaster this 12 months that may power the Fed to renew a rate-cutting cycle.

In a brand new CNBC interview, the founder and CEO of funding agency DoubleLine Capital says he sees the Fed chopping charges this 12 months, nevertheless it received’t be associated to the Fed’s twin mandate of attaining most employment and a mean of two% annual inflation.

“I do assume they’ll reduce charges, however I don’t assume it’s going to be due to significantly better inflation knowledge as a result of I don’t assume it’s going to get significantly better. I doubt the unemployment fee goes to be a shocker within the close to time period, like within the subsequent few months.

However I do assume they’ll reduce charges as a result of some liquidity issues could come up. So I do assume they’ll in all probability reduce charges by 12 months finish, and I nonetheless assume it’s in all probability lower than the market thinks, however I’m nearer to the market now as a result of I’ve stayed at two and the market has gone from 5 – 6 down to 2 and a half [cuts].”

Based on Gundlach, some establishments are beginning to witness liquidity issues. Gundlach makes use of Harvard’s latest bond sale to indicate that US-based entities are in want of money, however says different establishments are having the identical subject.

“The factor that I really feel is beginning to get talked about, and I believe is perhaps important within the subsequent market drawback is that this illiquidity subject that [has] developed and it’s getting some play on the newswires with Harvard and a few elite universities the place they don’t have any cash. 

They’re asset-rich however they’re cash-poor. Harvard has a $53 billion endowment, and so they’ve tapped the bond market now twice for principally working money. And the reason being – and I’m simply utilizing Harvard as a placeholder as a result of this has been within the information and reported with statistics – they report 40% of their endowment in non-public fairness. 

I believe that one other huge slug is in non-public credit score, which has been a booming asset class. We’re beginning to see tales of among the faster-moving college endowments saying, ‘We would need to exit a few of our commitments…’

I believe that is going to be a difficulty.”

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