XRP has spent the past 48 hours grinding lower, with its price gradually retreating to $2 after failing to sustain the rally above $2.10 at the beginning of the week. Selling pressure has been mostly controlled rather than aggressive, but each attempt to push higher has been met with a local trendline resistance near $2.165.
Technical analysis shared by crypto analyst CasiTrades outlines an important macro support level that may determine whether XRP can stabilize and attempt another bullish recovery or fall into another bearish corrective phase below $2.
XRP Defends An Important Macro Support Zone Around $2.03
According to CasiTrades’ analysis, XRP is still defending the macro 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which sits around $2.03 and has acted as a key structural support on the chart. This is visible in the recent price action, as the cryptocurrency is currently trading at $2.04, having rebounded from a low of $1.99 in the past 24 hours.
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The analyst noted that XRP recently reacted strongly from this level, showing its importance as a demand zone. The accompanying chart shows price repeatedly returning to this region, with buyers stepping in to prevent a sustained breakdown.
Although XRP has briefly dipped below the 0.5 Fib level, the move lacked follow-through. The most important thing is that the XRP price did not lose the $1.97 level, which CasiTrades identified as the threshold that would confirm a deeper bearish scenario. As long as XRP is trading above this zone, the analyst suggests that the price action still has a chance of increasing rather than heading lower to other downside targets.
Clearly Defined Bullish And Bearish Scenarios
The analysis outlines two distinct paths forward, and both depend on how XRP reacts to the macro support level at $1.97. On the bullish side, holding above $1.97 keeps the door open for a continuation higher. As long as $1.97 holds, the deeper retracement scenario is not confirmed.
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 From here, we can see XRP continue moving bullish, but only a decisive break above the macro resistance near $2.41 would serve as confirmation of a stronger upside structure. If that level is cleared, the next projections are in the $2.75 to $2.90 range, as shown in the purple bullish scenario in the chart above.
On the other hand, a loss of $1.97 would invalidate the current support structure and shift focus toward the macro 0.618 retracement around $1.64. The chart shows this as the pink scenario and $1.64 as another major support level that could come into play to stop the intensifying selling pressure.Â
No official confirmation has occurred in either direction, leaving XRP at an important point where holding macro support is the main requirement for any meaningful revival attempt.
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
